RPI Watch

posted by Jeremy Chrysler on 2/14/2006 - -

Ken Pomeroy’s latest RPI projection has KU at 38th, which is important since we’ve now passed that mythical 40th parallel.

We’re up to 9th overall in his season-long ratings and nestled comfortably at 5th in his last 5 games rating (oddly enough, UNC is number 1 in that rating - good job Roy). By the way, KP’s now predicting 13-3 in conference, with a lone loss at UT.

Dunkel has us at 4th in the country in his latest index, behind Duke, UT and UConn (before last night’s game).

We’re up to 19th overall and 6th in the pure points rating over at Jeff Sagarin’s place (the pure points is more important to Vegas).

Dolphin hasn’t updated yet, but I’ll try to remember to update that later.

You might be interested to know that the composite of bracket projections has us at a #6 seed. Most of the latter day brackets have us as a #5, but some of the less frequently updated brackets have us as an #8 or #9, so we’re averaged up a little. I think if we win out while losing impressively at UT, we have a very good shot at a #4. If we beat UT, I think a #2 is still *possible, but very very unlikely. A 4-6 is most likely at this point. I would almost prefer a #6 at this point to avoid a possible run-in with UConn, Duke or Villanova.

Thoughts?

2 Responses to “RPI Watch”

  1. Peter Says:
    February 14th, 2006 at 10:13 am

    2005 Tourney Field

    2 seeds
    Average record - 24-5.75
    Avg RPI - 9.25
    Avg on last 10 games - 7.5-2.5

    3 seeds
    Average record - 24.75-5.75
    Avg RPI - 8.75
    Avg on last 10 games - 7.5-2.5

    4 seeds
    Average record - 25.25-5.25
    Avg RPI - 15
    Avg on last 10 games - 7.5-2.5

    5 seeds
    Average record - 21.5-7.75
    Avg RPI - 20.25
    Avg on last 10 games - 7.75-2.25

    6 seeds
    Average record - 21.75-8
    Avg RPI - 22.75
    Avg on last 10 games - 7-3

    If KU wins out in conference play: 23-6
    B12 co-champs and #1 seed in conf tourney
    RPI: in the top 15
    2-1 in the B12 tourney: probably end up as a 3 seed with a 25-7 record and 9-1 in last 10 games

    If KU loses to Texas: 22-7
    #2 seed in conf tourney
    RPI: in the top 25
    2-1 in the B12 tourney: probably end up as a 4-5 seed with a 24-8 record and 8-2 in last 10 games

  2. Amy Says:
    February 14th, 2006 at 12:54 pm

    I think we will go 13-3 in the conference. According to something I read here a while back, KU has never been 13-3 in the league.

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