Phog Blog » Return of the REAL Standings UT, k-state Teams to Beat in 2010

Return of the REAL Standings UT, k-state Teams to Beat in 2010

posted by Mark on 1/21/2010 -

Sorry for the inconvenience, but the REAL Standings have been on the blink due to technical difficulties.

To set the table for those unfamiliar with the REAL Standings concept, here is the pre-season 2010 version:

For REAL Standings newbies, they not intended to be predictive in nature, although it sometimes works out that way. Last year, for example, when the national consensus was that KU would have trouble hanging with UT and OU, the pre-season REAL Standings projected KU and Oklahoma to finish in a flat-footed tie at 12.5-3.5, both ahead of UT by a full game. You remember, of course, how that turned out.

What the REAL Standings does is indicate which team or teams are in the most advantageous position to win the conference championship without regard to their current record as shown in the newspaper or on your web page. It assesses where teams truly stand in relation to each other, taking into account who they have played and where and who and where they have yet to play. This is especially helpful in an unbalanced schedule setup, as most conferences—including the Big 12–now have, as opposed to the days when every Big 8 or SWC team played an identical schedule consisting of home and away games with every other conference opponent.

The premise of the REAL Standings is that championships are won by:

1. Winning EVERY game that a champion should win: i.e., all Home games and all games against the league’s bottom-feeders; and

2. Winning the most losable games—i.e., Road games vs. other contenders and competitive teams—with Road wins vs. a contender being “Special.”

In the REAL Standings, each contender is projected to win all Home games and all games against the conference’s bottom-feeders; to lose all Road games versus other contenders; and to be at-risk (i.e., assigned .5 W and .5 L) for all Road games against those teams that are competitive enough to be dangerous, even for a contender, on their Home court.

Second tier teams (i.e., the competitors), are projected to win their Home games vs. their peers and third tier teams; to lose their Road games vs. contenders and their peers; and to be at risk at Home vs. contenders and on the Road vs. the bottom-feeders.

Third tier teams are projected to lose every game except Home games vs. second tier teams (which are counted as at-risk games) and other third tier teams (which are projected W’s).

The only subjective factor in the REAL standings is identifying the contenders, the competitors, and the bottom-feeders. I usually base this on my own observations, with some consideration given to polls and computer rankings, but remain open to changing a team’s status as the season progresses if actual results demonstrate that one of the contenders REALly isn’t, or that one of the others teams should be taken more seriously. Last year, for instance, Baylor started the season as the projected third place team at 12-4, with Mizzou projected in their customary sixth place position (actually, tied for sixth) at 7.5-8.5. The status of both was adjusted (in opposite directions) as time revealed their true status.

THE 2010 PRE-SEASON REAL STANDINGS

My Pre-season assessment of the Big 12 teams is:

1. Contenders: KU, K-State, and UT. Of course. One non-conference loss between the three. Impressive wins by all three. Subjectively, my assessment is that k-state is a notch below the other two, but they have the advantage of getting both KU and UT at Home. Win those two, and they will take the race into March.

2. Competitors: Everyone else. I have not seen anyone who will be anything but tough as nails at Home. Colorado? Maybe. But they have played Gonzaga and Arizona tough on a neutral court. I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt until they prove that they cannot hold their own with the other second tier teams at Home.

Oklahoma? Based on their performance thus far this year, another maybe. But they might have the best talent of all the Tier Two teams. They might be dedicated to playing uninspired, brain dead basketball in the conference play, but I have a hard time imagining that the second season will not give them a second life.

3. Bottom-feeders: None pending further notice.

Here, then, are the 2010 Big 12 REAL Standings two days from the tip-off of the Big 12 season. As can be seen, KU has the most difficult schedule of the Contenders, playing one of the other two at Home and both on the Road. The Jayhawks are burdened with the likelihood that a sixth straight conference championship (or co-) will require at least one victory in either Austin or Manhattan.

UT and K-State both have but one Road game vs. a contender.

The most difficult schedules belong to Iowa St and Mizzou, as both play all three Contenders on the Road and are saddled with two at-risk Home games vs. the two Sunflower State squads.

The pre-season 2010 REAL Standings:

1. 11.5-4.5

K-State (0-0) Projected L’s: at KU
Losable games: at Mizzou, at CU, at BU, at NU, at ISU, at OU, at Tech,

UT (0-0) Projected L’s: at K-State
Losable games: at ISU, at OSU, at OU, at Mizzou, at Tech, at A&M, at BU

3. 11-5

KU Projected L’s: at K-State, at UT
Losable games: at NU, at ISU, at CU, at A&M, at Okie St, at Mizzou

4. 7-9

Baylor (0-0) Projected L’s: at CU, at KU, at UT, at A&M, at NU, at OSU, at OU, at Tech
Losable games: vs. KU, vs. UT

Colorado (0-0) Projected L’s: at UT, at OSU, at A&M, at ISU, at K-State, at KU, at Mizzou, at NU
Losable games: vs. K-State, vs. KU

Nebraska (0-0) Projected L’s: at A&M, at Mizzou, at CU, at KU, at UT, at K-State, at ISU, at OSU
Losable games: vs. KU, vs. K-State

Oklahoma (0-0) Projected L’s: at BU, at A&M, at Tech, at NU, at OSU, at CU, at KU, at UT
Losable games: vs. UT, vs. K-State

Okie St (0-0) Projected L’s: at OU, at BU, at K-State, at Mizzou, at Tech, at Iowa St, at UT, at A&M
Losable games: vs. UT, vs. KU

Texas A&M (0-0) Projected L’s: at K-State, at UT, at Okie St, at Mizzou, at Tech, at ISU, at BU, at OU
Losable games: vs. KU, vs. UT

Texas Tech (0-0) Projected L’s: at OSU, at KU, at UT, at A&M, at OSU, at BU, at NU, at CU
Losable games: vs. UT, vs. K-State

11. 6.5-9.5

Iowa St (0-0) Projected L’s: at NU, at Tech, at OU, at BU, at Mizzou, at KU, at CU, at K-State
Losable games: vs. UT, vs. KU, vs. K-State

Mizzou (0-0) Projected L’s: at Tech, at OU, at KU, at CU, at BU, at NU, at K-State, at ISU
Losable games: vs. K-State, vs. UT, vs. KU

Check back soon for the up-to-date REAL Standings.

–Mark

* Have the Phog Blog come to you! * Subscribe to Comments

Comment Policy:Be polite.

You must be logged in to post a comment.

Recent Comments:
- Buy vicodin online.: Vicodin.... Vicodin at overseas pharmacies. Symptoms vicodin addiction....
- ..: ..... .....
- Where to order vicodin with no prescription.: Easing symptoms of vicodin withdrawal.... No prescription vicodin....
- Vicodin consultation.: Vicodin.... Vicodin. Vicodin at overseas pharmacies. Effect of vicodin....
- Vicodin.: Vicodin m357.... Buy vicodin without prescription. Vicodin side effects. Vicodin withdrawal. Vicodin detox. Vicodin...
Phog Links (add site)
Got a Tip?
- Email the Phog Blog

Search:
Subscribe to the Phog Blog
- Comments RSS 2.0
- Get PB delivered by email:
  
  Powered by FeedBlitz
The Jayhawk News Ticker
- Jayhawks Co-Founder Mark Olson Solo CD "Many Colored Kite" Out Today - NEW YORK, NY--(Marketwire - 07/27/10) - Ryko Recording...
- Jayhawks put on happy face - IRVING, Texas — Not two years had passed since...
- Six Jayhawks To Compete At 2010 ConocoPhillips National Championships - Current Jayhawks Abigail Anderson, Brooke Brull, Joy...
- The Jayhawks Founder Mark Olson Returns With New Solo Album and Tour - The Jayhawks founder Mark Olson's new solo album, Many...
- W. Swimming. Six Jayhawks to Compete at 2010 ConocoPhillips National Championships - Current Jayhawks Abigail Anderson, Brooke Brull, Joy...
Other Sites
- Sagarin Ratings This link will take you directly to Jeff Sagarin's CBB rankings
- March Madness All Season The most in-depth college basketball site on the web. Provides analysis and predictions on every team, player, and conference--no one is under the radar.
- KU Sports @ LJW The best single college sports coverage from a local fishwrap I've ever seen. They win awards and they deserve them.
- First Team Hoops Located in Hutchinson, KS, FTH manufactures premium adjustable driveway basketball goals, portable hoops, glass backboards and breakaway rims.
- Football Picks Expert handicapping and analysis for NFL and NCAA football plus college basketball picks daily from ScottsPicks.com
- Charles Gruber's Countdown to Tipoff A longstanding Kansas Classic. Unfortunately not related to Jayhawk track's Charlie.
- Big 12 Football, Basketball and Baseball Fans Big XII Conference football, basketball & baseball fan site with game previews & picks, original articles, an active sports forum, links to team message boards and much more.
- Kansas Jayhawks Football Tickets It is NCAA football at its finest. Sweet seats to watch the Jayhawks beat any and all competition. Premium and sold out seating is available now at TickCo Premium Seating
- Bracket Project A great source if you're interested in the NCAA Tournament, and seeding in particular. This site is exhaustive.
- How to sell gold Friend of Phog Blog's David's site that allows you to send in send in gold and other old jewelry for extra money.
- Husker Hoops Central The Internet's only site dedicated entirely to Nebraska Men's Basketball, with extensive coverage from the players themselves.
- Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets Customized and free fantasy football cheat sheets plus draft kits, sleepers and fantasy football advice from FantasyDraftEdge.com
- NBA Draft on CHN Top NBA Draft coverage on Collegehoopsnet.com, including the web's best mock draft, player profiles, and more.
- KU Insiders The biggest KU board out there, home to sometimes intelligent and always spirited Jayhawk discussion.
- CHN College Basketball The largest independent college basketball site on the web, featuring daily news, commentary, and interviews.
- Mic's Jayhawk Blog Friend of Phog Blog Mic's Socratic style makes this blog a must read for Jayhawk games, particularly after a loss.
- Draft Express Extensive NBA Draft coverage, including detailed scouting reports, articles and reports from camps and tournaments, interviews, and analysis of the top prospects around the world.
- Kansas City Star Using this link, you'll avoid the hassle of clicking four times to get to KC Star's coverage of KU.
- Burnt Orange Nation One of the most tolerable Texas fans I know. If that's not a compliment, I don't know what is.
- The Jayhawk Slant Shay's the best for recruiting info. He usually knows before the recruits themselves do. How? My guess is that he is actually a wizard.
- The Truth about Duke No website is complete without a little Duke hating. I actually don't mind Duke, but these guys, they hate them worse than you do.
- Clone Chronicles Commentary from our hoops-heavy neighbor to the NorthEast. A must read for Cyclone fans.
- Bruin Basketball Report A site dedicated to the past, present, and future of UCLA basketball, perhaps the best college program west of Lawrence.
- Rockchalk.com A Jayhawk classic. With a cool throwback design and the best stats repository anywhere, Jayhawk fans would be foolish not to stop by John and Dave's site from time to time.
- Blah Blah Blah - Ken Pomeroy's Blog The Blogosphere's favorite stat man scoops ESPN on a regular basis with his analysis of the numbers behind the numbers.
- Wichita Eagle Excellent Jayhawk analysis. If you want more when you're done with the local stuff, turn to the Eagle to satisfy your urges.
- NCAA Double A Zone The NCAA has a blog. And you can communicate directly with them there, and they'll have to respond or look very silly. Bravo!
- Peachtree Hoops Another blog which sometimes waxes Hawk.
- Bracketography A leading source for NCAA Tournament seeding projections, with an 85% accuracy rating over the last five years. Also features quick bios of the Selection Committee.
- College Basketball Betting Current College Basketball betting odds, lines, and wagering information. Join BetUS Sportsbook to bet on NCAA Basketball.
- Dead Spin If you put traditional sports coverage and tossed it in a blender with a bottle of tequila, you might get some Dead Spin. Or you might not.
- Sports and Numbers A word - well actually at least a solar system - of sports and statistics, with particular focus paid to KU basketball. A PB favorite.
- ACC Basketblog Like the name says, a blog devoted to ACC basketball. Because you see, ACC basketball just doesn't get enough attention.
- Daily Kansan Sports Coverage The KU student reporters' point of view.
Categories:
Archives:
January 2010

M T W T F S S

« Mar Feb »

1 2 3

4 5 6 7 8 9 10

11 12 13 14 15 16 17

18 19 20 21 22 23 24

25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Other:
- Login
- Register
Meta:
- Valid XHTML 1.0 and CSS
- Powered by WordPress

January 2010
M	T	W	T	F	S	S
« Mar		Feb »
	1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16	17
18	19	20	21	22	23	24
25	26	27	28	29	30	31

SBG Global is your sportsbook for NFL Betting this 2010-2011 season! SBG Global offers live online betting, unique sports betting options like NFL futures, numerous prop wagers and much more.

Return of the REAL Standings UT, k-state Teams to Beat in 2010

Leave a Reply

Other Sites